The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+120) on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Brewers are 28-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 18-32 ATS.

Brewers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 3-2, 4.23 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 1-3, 5.11 ERA

Brewers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+23.00 Units / 460% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+18.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+15.35 Units / 61% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+16.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+14.45 Units / 69% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 55% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+11.95 Units / 20% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+10.19 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+13.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+3.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 25-23 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -1.97% ROI).

• 28-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 14.01% ROI
• 29-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 16.05% ROI
• 19-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -23.98% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 18-32 against the Run Line (-21.31 Units / -32.58% ROI).

• 16-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.15 Units / -31.15% ROI
• 30-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 15.13% ROI
• 20-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -23.3% ROI

Marlins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 40% (51/129) against Freddy Peralta this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 33% (116 SO in 350 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 59% (64 SO in 108 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (6/34) against Freddy Peralta over the last 14 days — lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .318 (100 Total Bases / 314 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .191 (60-for-314) against Jesus Luzardo when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 16 innings — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (231/459) against Jesus Luzardo on sliders since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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