Giants vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 22
Giants vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 22

The San Francisco Giants (-135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Giants are 23-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 27-22 ATS.

Giants vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 0-3, 11.58 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 3-4, 2.91 ERA

Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+26.60 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 26 games (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+14.30 Units / 159% ROI)
  • Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jared Triolo has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 22 games at home (+9.80 Units / 42% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+15.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 63% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 23-26 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -6.51% ROI).

  • 23-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -12.87% ROI
  • 24-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -1.87% ROI
  • 23-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -6.54% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 27-22 against the Run Line (+2.76 Units / 4.14% ROI).

  • 23-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -8.43% ROI
  • 22-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -7.58% ROI
  • 24-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.23 Units / 0.43% ROI

Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Marco Luciano (SF) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Connor Joe (PIT) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Luis Matos (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Martin Perez (PIT) 3.5 -160 3.5 +125
Logan Webb (SF) 4.5 -155 4.5 +120

Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 32% of batters they faced (259/800 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (201/533) against Blake Snell since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (416/755) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .140 (55-for-393) against Blake Snell’s non-fastballs since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jared Jones has a strike rate of 72% (548/761) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (89/241) against Jared Jones this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Jared Jones has a strike rate of 75% (177/236) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (155/439) against Jared Jones this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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