The Premier League season is entering its home stretch, and both ends of the table offer plenty of drama with the campaign winding down. Which clubs will get the results they need in this action-packed game week? Find out with our Premier League best bets for Matchday 31 based on the best EPL odds.
Matchday 30 ended with five of the current top-six clubs picking up victories. Only Arsenal, who still sit six points clear of Manchester City atop the table, stumbled with their draw at Anfield against Liverpool. It could have been much worse for the Gunners, though, who fell asleep for most of the second half and were fortunate to exit Merseyside with a point.
Meanwhile, each of the current bottom-five clubs lost, while Bournemouth, West Ham, Wolves, and Crystal Palace gave themselves some breathing room from the drop zone.
With Champions League and relegation implications at the forefront of more than half of this week's matches, who will step up, and who will crumble?
Here are our Premier League best bets for Matchday 31 (odds via DraftKings and FanDuel; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Premier League schedule and odds for Matchday 31
(odds via DraftKings)
- Aston Villa (+260) vs. Newcastle (+110)
- Spurs (-215) vs. Bournemouth (+600)
- Chelsea (+170) vs. Brighton (+165)
- Everton (+105) vs. Fulham (+270)
- Southampton (+180) vs. Crystal Palace (+165)
- Wolves (+155) vs. Brentford (+190)
- Manchester City (-575) vs. Leicester (+1400)
- West Ham (+475) vs. Arsenal (-175)
- Nottingham Forest (+425) vs. Manchester United (-160)
- Leeds (+330) vs. Liverpool (-140)
Check out our top soccer picks.
Premier League best bets for Matchday 31
- Moneyline: Everton (+105 via DraftKings) vs. Fulham ????
- Parlay: Manchester City -1 + Erling Haaland to score (-125 via FanDuel) vs. Leicester ????
Check out our best Champions League odds.
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Premier League top picks
We're at that point in the Premier League season when there are some clubs with nearly nothing to play for. Fulham are one of those sides, as they sit 10th in the league, 12 points clear of relegation but also nowhere near a spot in Europe next season.
Fulham have certainly looked like a team lacking motivation in recent weeks. They've taken just one point from their last five EPL matches, and have lost four straight. Now, they head to Goodison Park following an embarrassing 1-0 defeat at home to relegation candidates West Ham.
Meanwhile, Everton desperately need three points. They're ahead of Nottingham Forest in the relegation battle only by goal differential and sit just two points clear of 19th-place Leicester, who would have the Toffees on GD if the season ended today.
Everton are far better at home than in away matches, which will help their cause Saturday. On the other side, Fulham have managed an impressive minus-one GD in away matches despite an abysmal minus-10.6 expected goal differential in those games. Regression is coming for the Cottagers, especially with star striker Aleksandar Mitrovic suspended until Matchday 36.
We saw this same story play out last season when Everto n were facing the threat of not playing in England's top flight for the first time since 1954. They took 14 points from eight matches – before losing in a meaningless game on the final day – to secure another campaign in the Premier League.
History is bound to repeat itself for a club with too much pride to go down without a fight.
Manchester City are fresh off a 3-0 destruction of Bayern Munich in the Champions League and won't need to travel for this match, as they remain at home to take on Leicester.
Much like Everton, Leicester are playing for their lives. Unfortunately, for the Foxes, that won't matter against the juggernaut that is Manchester City.
City have been the best home side in the Premier League this season, leading all teams with 2.64 points per home game, a plus-33 goal differential, and a plus-24.4 xGD. Their last home mat ch was the 4-1 demolition of Liverpool, and they've allowed themselves to continue to chase down Arsenal by entering the second leg of their Champions League showdown with a nice lead on aggregate.
The back-to-back Premier League champions sit just six points behind Arsenal with a game in hand, and they own a plus-five GD over their rivals. Simply put, the title race is far from over, and City know that.
The reverse fixture finished just 1-0 for City, though destroyer of worlds Erling Haaland didn't play in that match. He scored twice in just 68 minutes during last week's victory over Southampton and netted the third against Bayern in the midweek Champions League clash. The superstar striker is back in form after dealing with a knock that forced him to miss the Liverpool affair.
This parlay has hit in 13 of Haaland's 27 games this season, and he'll make it an even 50% on Saturday.
Premier League Matchday 31 best bets made 4/13/2023 at 11:30 a.m. ET.
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