The San Diego Padres (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Padres are 25-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 27-21 ATS.

Padres vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 3-4, 4.34 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 1-2, 4.19 ERA

Padres vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 away games (+30.00 Units / 143% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+19.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+15.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.20 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 38 games (+11.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 31 games (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+12.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+6.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 35% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games at home (+13.90 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.10 Units / 82% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+1.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 26-25 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 3.96% ROI).

• 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -10.02% ROI
• 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.27% ROI
• 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -8.33% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 27-21 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 6.88% ROI).

• 20-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -16.24% ROI
• 22-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -9.28% ROI
• 24-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.48% ROI

Reds vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.069 (31 Total Bases / 29 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .409 — first Percentile.

Michael King has walked 26 of 237 batters (11%) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Michael King has walked 26 of 237 batters (11%) this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .256 (41-for-160) against Michael King’s elevated fastball since the 2022 season — 13th highest among among 114 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .205 — 11th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .417 (15-for-36) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .268 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .366 (30-for-82) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .270 — eighth Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 35% of Nick Martinez’s breaking pitches (257/740) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 57% of the time (122/213) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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