The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Red Sox are 25-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 23-27 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 4-2, 4.00 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 3-2, 3.69 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+20.05 Units / 286% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+18.00 Units / 164% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+15.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.15 Units / 56% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 49 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 away games (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 45% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 47 games (+20.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 23-26 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -10.8% ROI).
- 25-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 18-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -24.86% ROI
- 29-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.2 Units / 16.87% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-27 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -6.57% ROI).
- 25-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -12.3% ROI
- 25-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -4.2% ROI
- 25-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -4.7% ROI
Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cooper Criswell (BOS) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (46/313) against Brayan Bello since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (64/390) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (133/223) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (111/594) against Brayan Bello since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.