Orioles vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for July 7 (Minnesota Leans on Pitching Mismatch to Win)

Two teams in position to make the playoffs over halfway through the season meet head-to-head on Friday night as the Baltimore Orioles (51-35) visit the Minnesota Twins (45-43).

  1. Orioles vs Twins Game Info
  2. Orioles vs Twins Odds & Spread
  3. Orioles vs Twins Betting Trends
  4. Orioles vs Twins Prediction & Pick
  5. Orioles vs Twins Best Bet

Orioles vs Twins Game Info

  • Date:'Friday, July 7, 2023
  • Time:'8:10 p.m. ET
  • Venue:'Target Field — Minneapolis, MN
  • Coverage:'Apple TV+

These teams met in Baltimore last weekend as the Twins took two of three games from the Orioles. Minnesota kept that momentum going with a series sweep of the Kansas City Royals during this past week, while Baltimore got back on track by earning a road series split against the New York Yankees.

Orioles vs Twins Odds & Spread

  • Moneyline:'BAL: (+124) | MIN: (-146)
  • Spread:'BAL: +1.5 (-164) | MIN: -1.5 (+136)
  • Total:'8.5 — Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

The Twins enter this contest as home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8:10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 8.5 runs with the Over favored at -120 odds.

Orioles vs Twins Betting Trends

  • Baltimore is 6-14 straight up in its last 20 games against Minnesota.
  • The total has hit the over in 10 of Baltimore's last 15 games.
  • Minnesota is 5-0 straight up in its last five home games.
  • The total has hit the under in six of Minnesota's last seven games against Baltimore.

Orioles vs Twins Prediction & Pick

It's worth pointing out right off the bat that there is a noticeable pitching mismatch here. Cole Irvin takes the mound for the Orioles behind a subpar 6.32 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in nine appearances (1-3 record). His 4.54 career ERA suggests that he is a merely average pitcher, even when at his best.

Bailey Ober draws the start for Minnesota as he has impressed with a 2.70 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 13 starts this season. He also recently dominated the Orioles as he didn't allow a single run over 7.0 innings on July 1 (8 strikeouts). Ober has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 12 of his 13 starts.

That mismatch alone makes the Twins the team to back here. It also helps that Minnesota ranks 10th in runs per home game (4.62) and eighth in home runs per home game (1.40). Providing Ober with any kind of lead will lessen the pressure that surrounds him and allow him to cruise to a statement victory.

Final Score Prediction:'Orioles: 2 | Twins: 6

Orioles vs Twins Best Bet

Keep in mind this is a head-to-head series that Minnesota has crushed in the past. The Twins have posted a 14-6 record in their last 20 games against the Orioles overal l and a 12-1 record in their last 13 home games against the Orioles. Not only that, but Minnesota outscored Baltimore 10-3 in last weekend's series win. Backing the Twins to win by a multi-run margin is a safe way to go on Friday.


  
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