The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Orioles vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 51-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 47-52 ATS.

Orioles vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s matchup with 64.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 41 of his last 66 games (+19.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 53 games (+17.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 57 games (+11.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 60% ROI)

Reds vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 80 games (+25.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 80 games (+23.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+7.70 Units / 36% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games (+14.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+7.60 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 40% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 65-35 against the Run Line (+23.95 Units / 18.4% ROI).

• 51-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.4 Units / 18.61% ROI
• 45-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -8.81% ROI
• 51-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 1.3% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 47-52 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -9.17% ROI).

• 38-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -12.34% ROI
• 53-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 2.83% ROI
• 45-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -12.44% ROI

Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .342 (13-for-38) against Dean Kremer — 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .244 — sixth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (4/19) against Dean Kremer — 6th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — eighth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (6/32) against Dean Kremer this month (4 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 21% (3/14) against Dean Kremer — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.

Tyler Mahle: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (83/267) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .432 (16 GB hits out of 37 GBs) against Tyler Mahle with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (150/418) against Tyler Mahle on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 36% of Tyler Mahle’s breaking pitches (150/420) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 47% — second Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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