The St. Louis Cardinals (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Washington.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 53-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 43-58 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 60.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 away games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+15.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
• Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)

Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 95 games (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+16.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 21% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 54-46 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 3.58% ROI).

• 53-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -8.7% ROI
• 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.45% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 43-58 against the Run Line (-23.3 Units / -18.67% ROI).

• 34-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.9 Units / -18.9% ROI
• 49-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -2.36% ROI
• 47-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -5.79% ROI

Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 56% (439/786) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 30% (75/246) against Dakota Hudson with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (76/425) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 59% (910/1,554) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Erick Fedde has an ERA of 8.17 (25.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — first Percentile.

Erick Fedde has walked 19 of 99 batters (19%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

Erick Fedde has an average spin rate of 1875.2 RPM on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 2220.6 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (190/889) against Erick Fedde this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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