The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-110) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Brewers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 56-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 52-49 ATS.

Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 64.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+11.60 Units / 61% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.50 Units / 60% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.65 Units / 74% ROI)

Red Sox vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+15.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+8.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 34 away games (+3.10 Units / 7% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 72 games (+8.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 67 games (+5.90 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 81 games (+5.40 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 72 games (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 43-57 against the Run Line (-17.65 Units / -14.52% ROI).

• 56-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -4.59% ROI
• 50-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.72% ROI
• 45-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -8.32% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 52-49 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.67% ROI).

• 50-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -5.94% ROI
• 45-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -5.18% ROI
• 47-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.75% ROI

Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 33% of Eric Lauer’s breaking pitches (99/303) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (93/279) against Eric Lauer this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (75/242) against Eric Lauer this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (39/115) against Eric Lauer in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Nicholas Pivetta: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has an ERA of 7.57 (44.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.41 — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (61/368) against Nick Pivetta this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (42/121) against Nick Pivetta in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (113/323) against Nick Pivetta this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
Read Full Article >