The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-135) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 41-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-54 ATS.
Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 46 games (+20.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+16.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+15.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 51 games (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 71% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+9.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games (+8.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 98 games (+8.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 away games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 76% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 51-48 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -4.09% ROI).
- 41-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -10.87% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 2.66% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 46-54 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -10.38% ROI).
- 49-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.9 Units / -14.11% ROI
- 47-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -4.43% ROI
- 47-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.89% ROI
Todd Smyly: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (985/2,236) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (750/2,079) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,293/3,077) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (396/938) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.
Jakob Junis: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 54% of the time (433/805) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .000 (0 GB hits out of 16 GBs) against Jakob Junis with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (433/805) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.
37 of Jakob Junis’ 44 strikeouts (84%) have come on non-fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 57% — 96th Percentile.