North Carolina (UNC) vs. Miami – FL Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-10-2024

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No. 3 North Carolina (18-5 SU, 13-9-1 ATS, 10-2 ATS) travels to Coral Gables to meet Miami (15-8 SU, 13-9-1 ATS, 6-6 ACC) on Saturday at 4pmET at Watsco Center.

These teams met once last season with the Hurricanes winning 80-72 at home as a 6-point underdog.

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North Carolina went through all the handicapping phases in their last three games. They had a look-ahead loss at Georgia Tech on Jan. 30, falling 74-73 as a 9-point road favorite. They then took care of rival Duke 93-84 last Saturday at Chapel Hill. They followed that big win with a letdown rare home loss to Clemson 80-76 as a 6-point favorite. The Tar Heels shot just 37% from the field and 33% (9-of-27) from long range. Armando Bacot led UNC with 24 points and 13 boards, while guard R.J. Davis added 22 points.  This was Clemson's second win in 62 tries in Chapel Hill and first since an overtime win in 2020.

“I didn’t particularly enjoy or like our practices leading up to the game (against Clemson),” UNC coach Hubert Davis said after the game to msn.com.

The Heels are ranked 10th in the latest NCAA Net Rankings with a 5-4 record against Quad 1 teams. Jerry Palm has them as a No. 2 seed right now, which makes sense after the Clemson loss and Duke win. Davis has been the best player in the ACC this season, averaging 21.3 points and 3.5 assists, while shooting 43.8% shooting (41.2% 3pt). Bacot adds 14.3 points and 10.0 rebounds with 1.7 blocks (54.7% shooting).

KenPom has the Heels ranked eighth overall and eighth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. UNC averages 82.8 points per game and shoots 45% from the field (35.2% 3pt). They allow 70.3 points per game and 40.3% shooting (30.1% 3pt). They also rank 19th in rebound rate at 54.6%.

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