NFL Week 10 concludes with the Washington Commanders visiting the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football at 8:15 pm ET on ESPN and our NFL expert Clevta has a best bet and predictions for the game.
Don’t miss out on our NFL best bets — we’re 34-19 this season!
Clevta’s Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles best bet: Commanders +11 (-110)
I don't have a strong feeling about this matchup but it is interesting that what the Eagles do best is run the football and Washington's strength on defense is stopping the run. They sit 4th in run defense efficiency and have also allowed the 4th lowest percentage of explosive runs. In fact, in their first meeting the Commanders held Philly to their lowest rush EPA output of the entire season when the Eagles posted a poor -0.52 EPA per rush. But the Eagles were able to dominate through the air and posted their single highest EPA performance and then sat on it in the 2nd half for the cover. Where the Commanders do struggle is on early down passes where they rank 2nd worst in the NFL. Look for a lot of early down throws by Philly who will likely “establish the pass”. Can the Commanders stop it?'
The one thing I do know is that this Washington team is the most consistent week to week performer this season based on Football Outsiders Variance metric. Meaning their performance does not vary much and you know what you are going to get. So I would be surprised if they win outright and I would also be surprised if they get completely demolished. This is likely to end up right around this number either way.