Throughout the Major League Baseball playoffs, I will provide a daily breakdown summarizing my thoughts on both futures and individual games for that day.
Below, I will address how to handle betting on these playoff series, whether on the series moneyline or a game-by-game basis, while using my daily MLB Model projections.
You can find my projections for every MLB game in the Action Network App (on both the PRO Projections tab and the game pages) and our Projections Hub (which you can bookmark).
You can also shop for the best lines on our odds page.
Using my projections, where can we find actionable value on Tuesday?
First, let’s take a look at my projected series prices for the Divisional Round and discuss the bets that I have already placed:
As I highlighted on Sunday, I placed Divisional Series bets on the Yankees (1.25u at -170), Phillies (1u at +180), and Mariners (1u at +210) shortly after those markets opened.
You can bet the Yankees up to -177, the Phillies down to +160 and the Mariners to +178; any of those bets represents an edge of at least two percent compared to my projections.
You can still find actionable prices on the Mariners and Phillies in the market (+220 and +174 at Caesars).
Conversely, the Yankees vs. Guardians price has moved fairly substantially since it opened. I would now look to bet Cleveland at +212 or better if the price continues to widen.