The New York Mets (-300) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+230) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Mets vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 65-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 44-60 ATS.
Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+16.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 41 away games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Taijuan Walker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+16.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 102 games (+18.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 102 games (+11.37 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 102 games (+9.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 68 games (+6.35 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 91 games (+17.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 55-47 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 7.46% ROI).
- 65-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.7 Units / 12.73% ROI
- 52-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 3.1% ROI
- 44-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.75 Units / -11.41% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 44-60 against the Run Line (-24.8 Units / -19.28% ROI).
- 35-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.75 Units / -19.16% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.51% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -6.55% ROI
Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom had a strikeout rate of 45% (146/324) last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom allowed an OBP of just .160 (324 PA’s) last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .129 (40-for-310) against Jacob deGrom last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has thrown 314 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the start of last season — 4th most among pitchers in MLB — 97th Percentile.
Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cory Abbott has limited playing time.