The Milwaukee Brewers (-250) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+200) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Brewers vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 57-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 52-50 ATS.
Brewers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 37 away games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 41 games at home (+13.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 31 games at home (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 82 games (+8.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+3.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 36 away games (+3.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 93 games (+10.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games at home (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 44-58 against the Run Line (-17.25 Units / -13.96% ROI).
- 57-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.79% ROI
- 51-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 46-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -8.33% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 52-50 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -4.13% ROI).
- 40-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -5.31% ROI
- 42-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.8 Units / -15.01% ROI
- 54-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 6.95% ROI
Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 45% (62/139) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (103/158) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 57% of the time (258/452) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 68% of the time (661/975) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Bryse Wilson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OPS of .876 (256 PA’s) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .702 — fifth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (11/106) against Bryse Wilson when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has a strikeout rate of just 16% (40 SO in 256 PAs) this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% — seventh Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of .365 (255 PA’s) this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .305 — fifth Percentile.