Marlins vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10
Marlins vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10

The Miami Marlins (+180) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-225) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Marlins are 1-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 7-5 ATS.

Marlins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 0-1, 3.86 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 1-0, 0.00 ERA

Marlins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Marlins vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 2-10 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -70.41% ROI).

  • 1-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -84.23% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 29.34% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -36.06% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-5 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 18.48% ROI).

  • 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 50.48% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -44.85% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 36.82% ROI

Yankees vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Arraez 0.5 +1600 0.5 -10000
Bell 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
Chisholm 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Fortes 0.5 +1050 0.5 -2500
Sanchez 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600

Yankees vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Weathers 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
Stroman 4.5 -155 4.5 +120

Ryan Weathers has thrown inside pitches 59% of the time (37/63) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of just 52% (23/44) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 12% (7/60) against Ryan Weathers in non-two strike counts this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .370 (10-for-27) against Ryan Weathers this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .243 — eighth Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitless in 21 AB’s against Marcus Stroman with two-strikes this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 41% (26/63) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 21 AB’s against Marcus Stroman with two-strikes this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 41% (26/63) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
Read Full Article