Brewers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10
Brewers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10

The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Brewers are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 5-6 ATS.

Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-0, 2.53 ERA

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Kevin Newman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 74% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games at home (+5.48 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 6-4 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 12.16% ROI).

  • 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 35.84% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 15.98% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -22.87% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -9.39% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 3.23% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 38.27% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -48.13% ROI

Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dunn 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
India 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
De La Cruz 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Chourio 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Ortiz 0.5 +775 0.5 -1400

Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Greene 7.5 +110 7.5 -150

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 53% of the time (292/555) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 51% of the time (250/491) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total CUT; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 48% of the time (664/1,380) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.

Wade Miley threw his cutter 44% of the time (820/1,873) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CUT; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

69% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (72/134) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown his slider 59% of the time (27/46) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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