The Baltimore Orioles (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Orioles are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 8-3 ATS.
Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 0-1, 7.21 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 0-0, 0.84 ERA
Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.20 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.30 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.35 Units / 117% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 153 games (+33.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 76 away games (+25.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 76 away games (+8.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 5-5 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 11.5% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 2.7% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -2.83% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 8-3 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 34.62% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 25.48% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -4.07% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -3.36% ROI
Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mountcastle | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rafaela | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Westburg | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Wong | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Devers | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Irvin | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Crawford | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (28/81) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (26/73) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 12% (3 SO in 24 PAs) this season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 6% (1/16) against Cole Irvin with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of just 44% (14/32) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .132 (5-for-38) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 93rd Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (11/18) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 91st Percentile.