The Seattle Mariners (+110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Monday, March 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Mariners are 6-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 7-9 ATS.
Mariners vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.55 Units / 118% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.80 Units / 140% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+2.55 Units / 127% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 9-7 against the Run Line (+0.18 Units / 8.16% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / -12.47% ROI
- 11-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 36.66% ROI
- 4-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -45.58% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Padres are 7-9 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -14.49% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 7.38% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -26.49% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 19.28% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 32% (60/187) against Bryce Miller in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .234 (282 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller threw fastballs 66% of the time (247/377) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller threw fastballs 66% of the time (1,384/2,095) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 31% (469/1,511) against Dylan Cease in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 91st Percentile.
Dylan Cease had a strike rate of just 61% (1,027/1,681) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 35% (267/763) against Dylan Cease in the 2023 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 93rd Percentile.
Dylan Cease allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — sixth Percentile.