Heat vs Nuggets NBA Finals Betting Analysis
WagerTalk NBA handicapper Andy Lang offers his expert Heat vs Nuggets NBA Finals predictions providing betting insights and analysis before NBA Finals Game 1 tip off June 1. The Nuggets won both regular season matchups against the Heat with both being decided by five points or less.
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| Series Betting | NBA Betting Notes, Courtesy of DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Moneyline to Win Series: | Miami Heat +320 vs Denver Nuggets -425 |
| Series Spread: | Heat +1.5 (+150) / Nuggets -1.5 (-175) |
| Series Total Games: | 4 Games (+450), 5 Games (+240), 6 Games (+240), 7 Games (+220) |
| Series Correct Score | Nuggets 4-1 (+250), Nuggets 4-2 (+400), Heat 4-2 (+750) Heat 4-3 (+950) |
| Featured Prop Bet: | Distance of longest shot in NBA Finals Over 47.5 ft (+5000) |
Heat vs Nuggets Series Betting Analysis
The NBA Finals features the top seed from the Western Conference against the winner of the Play-in tournament from the East.
It will be quite the contrast according to the standings when the Miami Heat battle the Denver Nuggets for the Larry O’Brien Trophy.
Of course, none of that really matters at this point as the Finals will be decided on defense, shooting and who displays the heart of a champion. At this point, it’s pretty obvious that both teams deserve to be playing in June.
The Heat survived the play-in tournament despite being behind late in the 4th quarter against the Chicago Bulls. They also stunned the league by taking down the NBAs top two regular season teams in the Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks. Surviving the seven-game series against Boston will give the Heat plenty of confidence.
The Nuggets haven’t been pushed to the brink but have overcome their own obstacles. They eliminated two amazing duo’s, beating Devin Booker & Kevin Durant in the Western Conference semi’s and Lebron James & Anthony Davis in the Western Conference Finals.
A seven-game series will answer lots of questions. Can Jimmy Butler elevate his game to an even higher level?
Will the triple-doubles keep coming for Nikola Jokic or can Bam Adebayo do anything to slow him down defensively?
Will Tyler Herro return at some point after breaking his hand in the first game of the post-season. Will the Nuggets be able to shake of the rust and continue their torrid shooting pace?
Can the stingy Miami defense shut them down? All these questions and more will be answered in the NBA Finals. One thing is for sure, either Nikola Jokic or Jimmy Butler will leave with a ring and that will be a beautiful moment.
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December 30th: Heat 119 @ Nuggets 124
February 13th: Nuggets 112 @ Heat 108
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The Denver Nuggets have the most efficient offense that any team has seen through the first three rounds of the playoffs in six years.
The 2017 Cleveland Cavaliers averaged 122.1 points per 100 possessions in 2017 and the Nuggets have averaged 119.7 through their first 15 playoff games. They’ve done this against the 10th, 7th and 12th ranked defenses during the regular season.