The Boston Celtics are on the verge of completing a never-before-seen comeback in the Eastern Conference Finals. Can they get it done at home against the Miami Heat? Our Heat vs. Celtics prediction is based on the best NBA odds from the best sports betting apps.
No team in NBA history has ever come back from an 0-3 playoff series deficit. In fact, only three teams have ever forced a Game 7 after being in that situation. The difference between those three teams and this year's Boston Celtics? Those three teams played Game 7 on the road.
After defeating the Miami Heat on Saturday, Boston will get a winner-take-all contest in front of the home crowd at TD Garden on Monday with a trip to the NBA Finals on the line.
Here is our best Heat vs. Celtics prediction (odds via FanDuel; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Heat vs. Celtics prediction
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We're about to witness history Monday night, and it's going to be in blowout fashion. Boston looked cooked after getting trounced in Game 3 and falling behind 0-3 to the Heat. Now, the momentum is clearly on the Celtics' side, especially after how Game 6 ended. As a result, Boston is climbing the chart in the latest NBA Finals odds.
Miami completed a furious rally Saturday and cut the game to two points in the final seconds. Heat guard Jimmy Butler drew a foul on a 3-point attempt and coolly sank all three free throws to give Miami a one-point advantage. He was shown on the bench telling teammates, “One more stop.” The Celtics inbounded the ball with three seconds to play, and Marcus Smart's three-pointer rattled in and out before Derrick White soared in on the baseline and tipped in the rebound to secure the victory.
It's not just that Miami lost Game 6. It's that the team had the game won and had victory snatched on a wildly improbable finish. The Heat got two of the worst shooting nights you'll ever see from Butler and forward Bam Adebayo, and yet this was still a winnable affair. After losing three in a row and being let down in such a monumental way, this is now Boston's series to lose. Miami has got to be physically and mentally drained.
Boston has won five elimination games this postseason, defeating the Philadelphia 76ers by 9 in Philly and by 24 at home in Games 6 and 7 of the Eastern Conference semis and taking down the Heat by 13, 17, and one in Games 4 to 6, respectively, in this series.
Celtics guard Jaylen Brown delivered arguably his best game of the postseason in Game 6, and the confidence levels of he and Jayson Tatum have got to be at an all-time high. Bet on Boston in Game 7.
Heat vs. Celtics best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics -9.5 | Celtics -9.5 | Celtics -9.5 | Celtics -9.5 | Celtics -9.5 |
| +115 | +122 | +115 | +114 | +120 |
The standard line is 7.5 across all of our major books, but that's not good enough for us. We can make this a much more profitable wager by selling two points for plus-money odds. The alternate spread option is always available, and we'll gladly take advantage in a game that the Celtics should win by double digits. Momentum is a powerful thing in sports, and the Celtics have all of it right now.
Heat vs. Celtics odds
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Heat vs. Celtics odds analysis
The Celtics opened as 8.5-point favorites, and the line has shifted down a point in favor of the visiting team. Bettors are anticipating a close game, as 73% of wagers have been placed on the Heat to cover.
After another low-scoring affair i n Game 6, the point total opened at 206.5. It's moved down by three points to 203.5, and bettors are picking the Over with 80% of wagers laid on that outcome. The Under has hit in each of Boston's three victories.
Heat vs. Celtics game info
- Date: Monday, May 29, 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV: TNT
- Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA
Heat-Celtics pick made 5/28/2023 at 6:15 p.m. ET.
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