Nathan Kelly
vs. Akhmed Magomedov
Betting Analysis, Wagering Odds, Line Movements, Expert Picks, Advanced
Predictions, AI Fight
Simulation, and Best Bets (Saturday, January 25, 2025)
Listed below are the current up-to-the-minute
betting odds available for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight.
As of right now, Nathan Kelly is a betting underdog, and Akhmed Magomedov is a betting favorite in the fight.
Odds are displayed in American
format.Adjust
Odds Format
Nathan Kelly Moneyline: +204
Nathan Kelly
Spread: N/A
Akhmed Magomedov Moneyline: -254
Akhmed Magomedov
Spread: N/A
Total Rounds:
2.5
Opening
Betting Odds
Listed below were the opening
betting odds that were initially set for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight.
When the odds first came out, Nathan Kelly was a +170 betting underdog, and Akhmed Magomedov was a -206 betting favorite in the fight.
Nathan Kelly Moneyline: +170
Nathan Kelly
Spread:
Akhmed Magomedov Moneyline: -206
Akhmed Magomedov
Spread:
Total Rounds:
2.5
Line Movements
Listed below are all the line movements of the
betting odds for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight.
Line movements usually occur when the oddsmakers adjust the betting
lines and odds based on how the public is betting or any significant
changes to the event such as injuries, suspensions, weather, etc.
Moneyline Movements: 102
Spread Movements: N/A
Total Rounds
Movements: None
Nathan Kelly
Moneyline Movements
Akhmed Magomedov
Moneyline Movements
Implied Win Probabilities
Available below are the implied win probabilities for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight.
Each teams implied win probability is based on the current
betting odds listed above.
Nathan Kelly Win Probability
32.89%
Akhmed Magomedov Win Probability
71.75%
Implied Predicted Final Result
Available below is the implied predicted final result
for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight.
The implied predicted final result
is based on the current
betting odds listed above. This is what the oddsmakers predict the
final result
will be purely derived from the
betting odds they set.
Nathan Kelly
0
Akhmed Magomedov
Round 3
Actual Final Result
Available below is the actual final result
for the now completed Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight.
Nathan Kelly
0
Akhmed Magomedov
Round 2
Sportsbook Edge
Available below is the Sportsbook Edge for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight.
The Sportsbook Edge is represented as a percentage and that number
is the actual edge the sportsbook has over you on the moneyline.
Learn more about how the Sportsbook Edge is calculated and how
exactly it works.
Sportsbook Edge
What is Sportsbook Edge?
The Sportsbook Edge is represented as a percentage and that number
is the actual edge the sportsbook has over the sports bettor on
the moneyline. This edge is how sportsbooks ensure they can turn
a profit over the long run even on moneyline bets.
How is Sportsbook Edge calculated?
The Sportsbook Edge is calculated by adding both teams win probability
percentages together and subtracting 100 from that total.
What's considered a good Sportsbook Edge percentage?
Well generally, the lower the number the better it is for the sports
bettor. Usually the Sportsbook Edge percentage does not go lower
than 2%. Generally speaking anything from 2% to 3.5% is considered
a very good Sportsbook Edge for the sports bettor, 3.5% to 5% is
considered average and is usually what is available. Anything over
5% is considered high and is very hard for the sports bettor to
turn a profit over time.
What else should I know about Sportsbook Edge?
The Sportsbook Edge gets lower as it gets closer to the start of
an event. So for example, the Sportsbook Edge for an NFL game is
higher earlier in the week when the odds are first set and gets
lower and lower as the week goes on, and it will be at its lowest
right before kick-off.
Lower ranked sports leagues, prop bets, and all live betting in
general have very high Sportsbook Edge percentages. Usually well
over 5% at all times, this is why sportsbooks offer these types
of bets to the public. It's very hard for sports bettors to turn
a profit over time betting only on lower ranked sports leagues,
props bets, or live betting because of this very high Sportsbook
Edge percentage.
Sportsbook Edge
+4.64%
AI Fight
Simulation and Best Bets for Nathan Kelly
vs. Akhmed Magomedov
You can run the AI Simulation and generate Best Bets for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight
below. The AI Simulator uses large data models and machine learning
artificial intelligence to simulate fight
results and generate best bets using the final simulation data.
Learn more about how exactly the AI Simulator works.
AI Simulator
How does the AI Simulator work?
The AI Simulator uses large data models and machine learning artificial
intelligence to determine a winner and final result for a specific
fight.
Sportsbooks and oddsmakers use many factors to create the betting
lines and odds for every fight
for the public to wager on, the AI Simulator reverse engineers those
same betting lines and odds as well as incorporates other statistical
and historical fight,
sport, and public handicapper consensus data to simulate final fight
results.
Key AI Simulator Model
Data:
Live Lines and Betting Odds
Historical Lines and Betting Odds
Streaks and Betting Trends
Historical Data and Stats
Previous Fight
Matchups
Public Handicapper Consensus
Rivalries and Revenge Factor
Travel and Rest Factors
Key Injuries or Suspensions
Weather Factor (if applicable)
And More Advanced Data!
The AI Simulator
also utilizes machine learning artificial intelligence to become
more accurate over time. For example with the start of every new
season, the AI Simulator establishes a performance baseline and
only becomes stronger and more accurate as the season unfolds and
more data becomes available. Also keep in mind that simulation results
can change each time you run a simulation because of real-time changes
in the AI data models or changes of the current available betting
lines or odds.
The AI Simulator
will also generate best bets based on the final simulation results.
If there is good value or an oddity in the betting lines or odds,
the AI Simulator will expose it without any bias or human element,
based strictly our constantly updating AI data models.
Numerology Picks for Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov
You can generate Numerology Picks for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight
below. Numerology is the study of numbers and their supposed mystical,
divine, or occult relationship to events and people. We generate
picks using your Numerology Life Path Number which is calculated
from your date of birth.
Learn more about how exactly Numerology Picks work.
Go to your
account settings to update your date of birth so we can calculate
your Numerology Life Path Number.
Numerology Picks
What is Numerology?
Numerology is the study of numbers and their supposed mystical or
divine connection to events in life. It's based on the idea that
numbers have a deeper meaning than their numerical value.
How Numerology Works?
Numerologists believe that numbers have a unique vibration
that can influence people's lives.
They use an alphanumeric system to calculate a person's
Life Path Number from their date of birth.
This value is said to reveal a person's unique characteristics,
life purpose, and predicted future events.
How is Your
Numerology Life Path Number Calculated?
To calculate your life path number in numerology, you can add the
digits of your date of birth together until you reach a single digit.
Calculation Formula:
Add the day and month of your date of birth together.
Add the digits of your date of birth year together.
Add the results from steps 1 and 2 together.
If the result is a double digit, add the digits together
until you get a single digit.
If the result is 11 or 22, you don't reduce it to a single
digit. These are called Master Numbers and represent a greater
potential for success.
How are Numerology
Picks Generated?
We use the laws of Numerology mixed with a bit of our own little
magic to generate sports betting picks for you based on your Numerology
Life Path Number. Keep in mind, unlike our AI Simulator, Numerology
Picks DO NOT use any sort of analytical, statistical, or betting
data at all, the picks are purely generated using Numerology.
Go to your
account
settings to make sure your date of birth is up-to-date and accurate
so we can calculate your Numerology Life Path Number correctly.
AI Expert Picks for Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov
You can access AI Expert Picks for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight
below. AI Expert Picks leverage artificial intelligence and machine
learning to discover, identify, analyze, and generate betting picks
from the most successful sports betting experts in the industry.
Learn more about how exactly AI Expert Picks work.
Want to give AI Expert Picks a try before you upgrade? You can activate
your 1-day free trial to AI Expert Picks today!
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AI Expert Picks
What are AI Expert Picks?
AI Expert Picks leverage artificial intelligence and machine learning
to discover, identify, analyze, and generate betting picks from
the most successful sports betting experts in the industry. By aggregating
historical data, real-time expert predictions, past betting patterns,
and AI-driven insights, AI Expert Picks provides users with high-confidence
AI generated betting recommendations from the industries top betting
experts.
Expert Identification
& Data Aggregation
The AI system continuously scans thousands of sports analysts,
tipsters, and betting experts across social media, betting forums,
sportsbooks, and professional prediction platforms daily.
It ranks experts based on key performance metrics, including
win percentage, return on investment (ROI), unit consistency,
and accuracy over time and generates AI sports betting picks
to match the experts past betting patterns.
It collects expert picks from multiple sources and compares
them against historical performance to determine credibility.
Machine Learning Model
Training
The AI model is trained on years of betting data, including
odds movement, game statistics, betting line shifts, past betting
patterns, and historical betting performance.
It identifies betting patterns amongst top sports betting
experts, risk factors, and strategies that consistently yield
profitable results.
The model continuously improves as it ingests more data,
refining its ability to predict expert success rates and pick
quality.
Live TV Streams for Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov
Listed below are all the available live TV streams for the Nathan Kelly vs. Akhmed Magomedov PFL MMA fight.
Live sports streaming sites can be useful to sports bettors to learn
more about the teams they're betting on, follow their bets in real-time,
and watch out-of-market games that might not be available to them
otherwise.
All our betting analysis, advanced predictions, wagering tools,
and
AI simulation data for this Nathan Kelly
vs. Akhmed Magomedov
MMA
betting matchup above are meant to provide you with the best
available information so you can make the smartest and most informed
sports bets you can make.
Our main goal with all the
free sports picks and other sports betting
content we provide on our platform is to help you win at sports
betting, plain and simple.
Great gambling quote: "A gambler plays even when the odds are immutable and against him." -Roger "Lou Krieger" Lubin (Professional poker player and author)
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you to always bet on sports responsibly and within your financial
limits.
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