The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 25-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 23-32 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 5-4, 3.14 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 0-2, 3.97 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+20.00 Units / 400% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+18.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+16.65 Units / 41% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 39 games (+11.00 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 75% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+14.30 Units / 65% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 away games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-32 against the Run Line (-13.3 Units / -18.68% ROI).

• 25-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -10.88% ROI
• 23-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -16.78% ROI
• 30-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 8.42% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 23-32 against the Run Line (-12.55 Units / -17.49% ROI).

• 22-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.7 Units / -20.91% ROI
• 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.93% ROI
• 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -7.2% ROI

Mets vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (118/233) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 39% (30/78) against Zac Gallen this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (42/107) against Zac Gallen with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .335 (123 Total Bases / 367 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — 93rd Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 12% (3/25) against Christian Scott on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 9% (4/45) against Christian Scott — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 9% (4/45) against Christian Scott over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Christian Scott has located his pitches away 61% of the time (222/363) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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