The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Nationals are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 26-27 ATS.

Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 4-0, 2.34 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 2-2, 1.77 ERA

Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 66.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games (+25.90 Units / 144% ROI)
• Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+15.00 Units / 68% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• Riley Adams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+15.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+12.95 Units / 63% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 39 games (+18.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.99 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 33-21 against the Run Line (+9.53 Units / 13.72% ROI).

• 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 15.13% ROI
• 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -12.81% ROI
• 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.48 Units / 4.14% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 26-27 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.92% ROI).

• 31-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -3.85% ROI
• 19-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.65 Units / -27.1% ROI
• 32-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.1 Units / 18.83% ROI

Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (872/2,239) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (839/1,648) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 38% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (632/1,648) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Williams has thrown low pitches 78% of the time (156/201) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .190 (15-for-79) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .270 — 95th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 399 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 38 of 232 left-handed batters (16%) since last season — tied for 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — seventh Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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