The Detroit Tigers (+100) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-120) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Tigers are 27-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 25-31 ATS.

Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 1-4, 3.90 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 2-3, 4.20 ERA

Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+22.50 Units / 562% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 71% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 101% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+17.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+13.05 Units / 93% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+11.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.95 Units / 28% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 53% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+11.65 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games (+4.90 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 25-30 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -9.96% ROI).

• 27-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.21% ROI
• 29-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 12.24% ROI
• 20-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.3 Units / -21.34% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 25-31 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -14.56% ROI).

• 28-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -2.65% ROI
• 21-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -20.33% ROI
• 31-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.05 Units / 12.98% ROI

Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (159/446) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (13-for-26) against Jack Flaherty on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .323 — second Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has walked 9 of 243 batters (4%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (61/177) against Jack Flaherty this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .692 (376 Total Bases / 543 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .560 — second Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 40% (34 SO in 85 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .119 (13-for-109) against Nick Pivetta in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .174 (426 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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