The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Diamondbacks vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 54-48 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 68.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
| Triston McKenzie | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 59-43 against the Run Line (+12.95 Units / 9.8% ROI).
- 45-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -5.56% ROI
- 44-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -12.49% ROI
- 53-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 3.32% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 54-48 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 0.77% ROI).
- 53-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 5.4% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.51% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -7.12% ROI
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
10 of Zac Gallen’s 28 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (25/137) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (17 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 85th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 21% (89/422) against Zac Gallen this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 16th Percentile.
Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (61/192) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .185 (10-for-54) against Triston McKenzie on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .269 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (99/305) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .158 (26-for-165) against Triston McKenzie this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.