The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-190) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Red Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 52-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 53-51 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Astros vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Astros vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Astros vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -160 |
| Kutter Crawford | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 54-50 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 2.89% ROI).
- 52-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -6.12% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 53-51 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 3.15% ROI).
- 67-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 4.38% ROI
- 38-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.75 Units / -25.32% ROI
- 62-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.95 Units / 17.25% ROI
Kutter Crawford: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (8/35) against Kutter Crawford — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has walked 1 of 43 batters (2%) — tied for 10th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .148 (4 Total Bases / 27 ABs) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .434 — 98th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 69% (101/146) — 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (387/784) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 56% of the time (219/389) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .093 (40-for-428) against Cristian Javier with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 99th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (61 Total Bases / 428 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: .269 — 100th Percentile.