The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Rays are 21-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 20-22 ATS.

Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 0-1, 1.50 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 3-4, 2.22 ERA

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+17.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 39% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 22 games (+14.50 Units / 66% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 38% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.60 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 19-24 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -10.42% ROI).

• 21-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -15.77% ROI
• 23-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 2.33% ROI
• 20-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -11.28% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-22 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -10.07% ROI).

• 22-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.6% ROI
• 14-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -30.78% ROI
• 26-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.55 Units / 22.54% ROI

Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .973 (72 Total Bases / 74 ABs) when behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .614 — 0 Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (15/76) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (85/306) against Taj Bradley since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (30/170) against Taj Bradley on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tanner Houck has a strike rate of 74% (152/204) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (84/147) against Tanner Houck this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .274 (54 Total Bases / 197 ABs) this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .385 — 97th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has a strike rate of 74% (152/204) in two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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