Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 25

The St. Louis Cardinals (+140) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-165) on Monday, March 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Mesa, AZ.

This season, the Cardinals are 6-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 13-8 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 away games (+3.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Nick Madrigal has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alexander Canario has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 4-14 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -53.72% ROI).

  • 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.48 Units / -23.84% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 1.66% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -8.51% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 13-8 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 20.28% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.92 Units / 2.61% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -36.63% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / 27.51% ROI

Steven Matz has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last seven games dating back to July 9th, 2023 — Jacob deGrom has the longest active streak at 8.

Steven Matz threw his changeup 32% of the time (479/1,503) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Steven Matz allowed an OPS of .622 (274 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .526 — 11th Percentile.

Opponents had a first pitch chase rate of just 10% (20/195) against Steven Matz in the 2023 season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 16% — fifth Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Wicks has limited playing time.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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