Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 21
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 21

The Milwaukee Brewers (+140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-165) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Brewers are 13-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 12-9 ATS.

Brewers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 2-0, 2.70 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 2-0, 0.00 ERA

Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Owen Miller has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+8.10 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Wade Miley has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Freddy Peralta has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+5.00 Units / 15% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 11-8 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 8.97% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 35.22% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 31.19% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -38.9% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 12-9 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 12.5% ROI).

  • 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -10.37% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -26.25% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 19.44% ROI

Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Lars Nootbaar (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Lars Nootbaar (STL) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (90/172) against Colin Rea when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Colin Rea has walked 1 of 49 batters (2%) — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .217 (20 Total Bases / 92 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .443 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Colin Rea when going through the lineup the first time in a game — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — third Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .119 (25 Total Bases / 210 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has not walked any of the 39 batters that he has faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 (82 Total Bases / 287 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .175 (49 Total Bases / 280 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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