The Miami Marlins (+105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-125) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Marlins are 5-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 15-6 ATS.

Marlins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 0-0, 1.50 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 0-2, 12.97 ERA

Marlins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 103% ROI)
• Kyle Hendricks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 63% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 63% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 31% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 7-15 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -43.83% ROI).

• 5-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -46.78% ROI
• 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 5.22% ROI
• 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -13.09% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 15-6 against the Run Line (+7.05 Units / 23.23% ROI).

• 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 19.49% ROI
• 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -8.42% ROI
• 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.87% ROI

Cubs vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (77/431) against Edward Cabrera since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 100 of 747 batters (13%) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 76% (64/84) against Edward Cabrera’s changeup since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 30 of 207 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OBP of .812 (16 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .330 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .490 (25-for-51) against Kyle Hendricks on pitches in the strike zone this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .276 — second Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .927 (38 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .428 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of 2.449 (16 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .742 — first Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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