The Detroit Tigers (+100) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-120) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Tigers are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-12 ATS.

Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 0-0, 4.11 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-3, 8.17 ERA

Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mark Canha has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 49% ROI)
• Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mark Canha has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.80 Units / 82% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 70% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 40% ROI)
• Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 8-13 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -21.04% ROI).

• 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -5.31% ROI
• 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -3.72% ROI
• 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -4.93% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-12 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -29.92% ROI).

• 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -28.18% ROI
• 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -14.95% ROI
• 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 6.85% ROI

Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (11/72) against Casey Mize this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (2/22) against Casey Mize on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Casey Mize has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Casey Mize has a strike rate of just 57% (54/94) in two strike counts this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .297 (11-for-37) against Louie Varland with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .168 — second Percentile.

Louie Varland has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (21 Total Bases / 35 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 0 Percentile.

Louie Varland has allowed an OPS of .886 (43 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .506 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .343 (12-for-35) against Louie Varland when ahead in the count this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .192 — first Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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