The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-130) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 12-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 11-12 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 2-2, 3.97 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 2-2, 6.47 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• Brandon Belt has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• Danny Jansen has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+5.40 Units / 70% ROI)
• Chris Bassitt has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joe Musgrove has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
• Kyle Higashioka has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Eguy Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Eguy Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• Kyle Higashioka has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.25 Units / 48% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 12-9 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 5.87% ROI).

• 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 7.78% ROI
• 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -18.79% ROI
• 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 8.23% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 11-12 against the Run Line (-0.03 Units / -0.11% ROI).

• 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.21 Units / -4.41% ROI
• 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.93 Units / -3.64% ROI
• 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -3.57% ROI

Padres vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .191 SLG vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 94th Percentile and .641 vs left-handed batters this season (worst among qualified SPs)– first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (2/22) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (12 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (3/42) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of .429 (112 PA’s) this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .302 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .337 (32-for-95) against Joe Musgrove this season — 2nd highest among in NL; League Avg: .237 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .337 (32-for-95) against Joe Musgrove this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — fourth Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of .429 (112 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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