The New York Mets (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Mets are 12-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 9-14 ATS.
Mets vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-1, 4.70 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 3-1, 3.73 ERA
Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 67.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Quintana has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tyler Glasnow has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 12-8 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 26.11% ROI).
- 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 18.37% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 5.75% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -14.38% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 9-14 against the Run Line (-6.94 Units / -26.28% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -22.85% ROI
- 14-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.32 Units / 20.84% ROI
- 8-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -28.01% ROI
Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
James Outman (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 85% (11/13) against Adrian Houser — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 38% of Adrian Houser’s non-fastballs (491/1,279) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (802/1,112) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (450/620) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .161 (41-for-255) against Tyler Glasnow since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (38/103) against Tyler Glasnow this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 64% (16 SO in 25 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.