The Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 10-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 9-13 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 2-0, 2.19 ERA
• Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 2-0, 1.54 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Giants and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Buddy Kennedy has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+9.30 Units / 94% ROI)
• Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• Evan Longoria has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
• Buddy Kennedy has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.80 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• Austin Slater has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 73 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 11-11 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -2.03% ROI).

• 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -15.67% ROI
• 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -5.49% ROI
• 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -3.77% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 9-13 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -18.87% ROI).

• 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -17.83% ROI
• 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 13.84% ROI
• 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -22.56% ROI

Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .191 (52-for-272) against Merrill Kelly when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 97th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has a strikeout rate of 36% (13 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 91st Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has located his sliders away 92% of the time (56/61) this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 53% — 100th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has located his pitches away 63% of the time (51/81) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in NL; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Hicks has allowed an OBP of just .116 (43 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has thrown 424 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among in NL — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .095 (4-for-42) against Jordan Hicks this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (15/99) against Jordan Hicks on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
Read Full Article