Conference play is the theme of Week 7 of the 2022 NCAA college football season. The Mountain West is in on the rivalry action, highlighted by a game between the Air Force Falcons and UNLV Rebels.
Both schools enter the week after suffering losses one week ago. Can Air Force ste al a victory, improving their conference record to 2-2 this season? Or will UNLV get its fourth win in five games, improving to a 3-1 MWC record along the way?
Air Force vs UNLV Odds
According to FanDuel Sportsbook's'college football odds, Air Force is a clear -365 favorite on the moneyline (10-point spread) in a game with a 49.5-point over/under.
What should college football fans expect in this matchup, and where can bettors find value?
Air Force vs UNLV Prediction and Best Bet
It's often rare that UNLV finds success against Air Force. The Falcons are 17-6 in 23 all-time matchups against the Rebels, which also includes winning each of the last four meetings since 2014. Last year, Air Force completely destroyed UNLV to the tune of a 48-14 final score.
Unfortunately for Rebels fans, their team isn't in the best shape. They just lost 40-7 to San Jose State last week, whereas both of the Falcons' losses this season have come by just one possession. That's mostly due to Air Force's solid defense, which gives up 18.2 points per game (T-No. 18) compared to UNLV's defense surrendering 26.2 PPG (T-No. 53).
Owning the better offense and defense here, I'm counting on Air Force to conti nue its success against UNLV. Give me the Falcons at -10 on the spread, as well as the total hitting over 49.5 points – much like it has in each of the last two games where the Rebels were the host team.