The Kansas City Royals (+200) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Sunday, September 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Royals are 85-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 74-85 ATS.

Royals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 8-9, 4.66 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 8-9, 4.14 ERA

Royals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 67.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+22.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+17.30 Units / 36% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 away games (+15.80 Units / 66% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+13.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 43 games (+24.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 39 games (+19.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.35 Units / 34% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 157 games (+7.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 92 of their last 145 games (+38.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+5.70 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 88-73 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 1.97% ROI).

• 85-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 1.33% ROI
• 69-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.25 Units / -14.42% ROI
• 86-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 5.31% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 74-85 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -7.74% ROI).

• 88-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -7.46% ROI
• 58-95 when betting on the total runs Over for -45.45 Units / -26.18% ROI
• 95-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +31 Units / 17.57% ROI

Braves vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh has walked 41 of 356 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .701 (246 Total Bases / 351 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: .572 — first Percentile.

Alec Marsh has walked 5 of 126 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.

Alec Marsh has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 57% (176/308) of the time this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 79 of 796 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (233/612) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 54 of 521 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (667/1,285) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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