UFC 301 takes place on Saturday at the Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. This card features a flyweight title fight between Alexandre Pantoja and Steve Erceg as the Main Event. Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for this UFC card, which will include 4 fights on the Main Card.
Here is my favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +545 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.
Alexandre Pantoja ML over Steve Erceg (-185)
Alexandre Pantoja comes into this fight with an MMA record of 27-5 and he is 11-3 in the UFC. Pantoja is averaging 4.32 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. He is absorbing 3.90 and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.20 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 48% and he has a takedown defense of 67%.
Pantoja is the heavy favorite in this fight, which is warranted given that he is the one holding the title. Despite the high price, Pantoja still looks to be the side worth backing. His striking compared to Steve Erceg is essentially the same, but his grappling is superior. Erceg does defend takedowns at a high rate, but given his success fighting on the mat, backing Pantoja will be our play to retain the Flyweight title.