The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on Tuesday, September 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Padres vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 77-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 71-86 ATS.
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+15.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Joc Pederson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Seth Lugo | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 79 of their last 150 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 72 away games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.57 Units / 47% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 69 of their last 110 games (+24.02 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 81 of their last 143 games (+17.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 80 games (+17.03 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 68 games at home (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 78-79 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -3.51% ROI).
- 77-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.75 Units / -13.59% ROI
- 66-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.3 Units / -13.89% ROI
- 81-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.45 Units / 5.53% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 71-86 against the Run Line (-25.3 Units / -12.46% ROI).
- 78-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -7.35% ROI
- 68-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.45 Units / -15.74% ROI
- 86-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.25 Units / 7.16% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth best among qualified RPs)– 91st Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (123/464) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (673/1,623) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 34% (183/539) against Seth Lugo with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele located 43% of his pitches inside (218/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (1,018/1,433) in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (364/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 99th Percentile.