Orioles vs Guardians MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Why Baltimore Is Mispriced as an Underdog (Tuesday, August 30)
Orioles vs Guardians MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Why Baltimore Is Mispriced as an Underdog (Tuesday, August 30)

Orioles vs. Guardians Odds

Orioles Odds +136
Guardians Odds -162
Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115)
Time 6:10 p.m. ET
TV MLB.TV

Cal Quantrill has been one of the most reliable starting pitchers on the Cleveland Guardians in the second half this season as he owns a 3.19 ERA after the All-Star Break. However, overall he still maintains a 3.59 ERA against a 4.39 xERA, meaning he has been exceptionally lucky. He will face off with the Baltimore Orioles and Spenser Watkins, who has also had his fair share of luck with a 3.96 ERA and 4.82 xERA this season.

These are two relatively similar starters. Both have struck out fewer than 16% of hitters this season, ranking in the bottom 10% of MLB. However, Quantrill does have a slight advantage since he permits far less hard contact than Watkins. But on the other hand, the Guardians have a team 85 wRC+ off of righties in August while the Orioles rank seventh with a 108 wRC+ mark.

There isn’t a distinguishable difference between starters or bullpens to back the Cleveland Guardians with how poorly they hit right-handers. Take the Baltimore Orioles in this matchup as they will manage a few runs off of Quantrill and Cleveland's middle relievers.

  
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