As much as my MLB Bullpen Rating System has been around and doing very well since I first introduced it on VSiN back in 2018, it seems that the focus on it has increased dramatically as I’ve begun sharing regular updates on it. I do get a little leery of this, as the purpose of the system is not so much to keep track of specific wins and losses, but rather to teach bettors the importance of bullpen performance and how it is reflected in MLB betting success. In my opinion, lines are too reflective of the starting pitchers, when in most cases, the bullpens tend to work at least a third of the game. That leaves a lot of vaIue to be found when analyzing the late-game possibilities. Beyond that, I am of the belief that a solid working bullpen is usually a function of an overall superior team. With this in mind, I’m here to share the updated results from last week and the season overall, as well as this bit of great news. My complete set of MLB Power Ratings will be made ava ilable to VSiN subscribers on a daily basis starting Monday evening April 24th! You can follow my daily adjustments and keep track of the Bullpen System plays every day for the rest of the season.
Many of you are probably followers of my annual College Football Stability Mismatch System which has produced annual profits every year since I have been with VSiN (and before that as well). Like that methodology, I find my Bullpen System to be fundamentally sound, and thus the reason that it continues to work. There couldn’t be an easier strategy. Simply back the team with the higher bullpen ranking. Now, obviously, this involves betting up to 15 games per day, and many people don’t endorse that type of bankroll management, and I can agree to a point, as I also like to narrow down my wagers based upon other factors I consider important. With that said, the numbers I am sharing with you involve playing every game, unless two teams share identical bullpen ratings.
After posting a couple of in-season updates already, this past week’s results with the strategy produced a record of 58-33 for +10.68 units or an R.O.I. of 11.7%. If you didn’t win 10.68 units or more last week, you should at least consider the merits of bullpen wagering. These were the results by day:
Monday 4/17: 7-3, +2.82 units