Best Bets on Today's MLB YRFI and NRFI Markets
All the good vibes from Friday’s 2-0 performance evaporated on Saturday with a difficult 0-for-2. Both were excruciating beats and a healthy reminder of just how random these bets are, despite the extensive research and handicapping that’s involved. I don’t feel the need to recap each one, if you followed me, you know how they ended. My best advice is to manage your bankroll appropriately and eliminate all emotion involved with a bet as volatile as this. It’s six outs, one mistake, one swing, one wild pitch (sigh) usually decides it.
Keep reading to find out my best bets for Sunday, July 9th. I recommend 2 units for each. All odds are via DraftKings but be sure to shop around for the best line.
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
Despite pushing across an early run four times in their last six games, including three yesterday, the Marlins still have the lowest first-scoring rate in MLB this season at 20% (18-for-91). Miami’s overall NRFI record is 60-31 (65.1%), but the average odds for this bet have been -122, which implies a 55% probability. That 10% gap between the actual hit rate and the implied probability is where “value” exists if the matchup and situation also align.