The New York Yankees (-145) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+120) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Yankees are 10-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-4 ATS.

Yankees vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Cody Poteet 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 1-1, 4.00 ERA

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+16.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 61% ROI)
• Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-6 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 10.46% ROI).

• 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 31.46% ROI
• 3-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -48.98% ROI
• 9-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 41.07% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 28.57% ROI).

• 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 30.45% ROI
• 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 18.49% ROI
• 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -29.92% ROI

Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clarke Schmidt has located his fastball inside 57% of the time (29/51) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Clarke Schmidt this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (69/356) against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt allowed an OBP of .500 (16 PA’s) against right-handed batters — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .296 — third Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .186 (60-for-323) against Triston McKenzie since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 96th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .067 (15 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 99th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .228 (197 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .189 (35-for-185) against Triston McKenzie when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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