The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ .

This season, the Cardinals are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 8-5 ATS.

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 1-1, 6.24 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 0-2, 8.23 ERA

Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 68% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 64% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
• Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 72 away games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 9-4 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 36.2% ROI).

• 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 1.05% ROI
• 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -24.38% ROI
• 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 19.38% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 16.83% ROI).

• 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -12.89% ROI
• 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.69% ROI
• 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -9.71% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Gibson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 2 double plays in 5 opportunities (40%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 59% (480/815) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents batted .205 (71-for-346) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — sixth Percentile.

Kyle Gibson allowed a slugging percentage of .327 (113 Total Bases / 346 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — sixth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryne Nelson has an ERA of 8.49 (58.1 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — 0 Percentile.

Ryne Nelson had an ERA of 8.25 (55.2 IP) at home in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — first Percentile.

Opponents batted .356 (84-for-236) against Ryne Nelson at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (157 Total Bases / 248 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .410 — 0 Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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