The New York Yankees (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s game with 53.6% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Runs Over in his last away game (+1.55 Units / 155% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games at home (+8.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has averaged 79.6 MPH on sliders since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — fourth Percentile.
Nestor Cortes’ lowest spin rate on fastballs since the 2022 season is 1853.0 RPM — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1212.5
Nestor Cortes has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH on the 206 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2021 season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
Nestor Cortes’ lowest spin rate on fastballs since the 2021 season is 1853.0 RPM — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 1124.1
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez located 47% of his pitches inside (361/767) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez had third base stolen on him 8 times in the 2023 season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 41% of his pitches inside (1,210/2,952) in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 47% of his pitches inside (361/767) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.