White Sox vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10

The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-250) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the White Sox are 2-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-3 ATS.

White Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 0-0, 2.80 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 1-0, 4.00 ERA

White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -1.11% ROI).

  • 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -49.09% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -40.64% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 32.91% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-3 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 39.93% ROI).

  • 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 29.09% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 11.84% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -22.92% ROI

Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freeman 0.5 +1100 0.5 -2500
Brennan 0.5 +1100 0.5 -2500
Sheets 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Grossman 0.5 +600 0.5 -1000
Shewmake 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000

Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fedde 3.5 -105 3.5 -120
Bibee 6.5 +120 6.5 -160

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 42% (30/71) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 42% (30/71) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has allowed a slugging percentage of .706 (12 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (296/1,354) against Erick Fedde since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .933 (14 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .083 (2-for-24) against Tanner Bibee’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: .208 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .083 (2-for-24) against Tanner Bibee’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .600 (9-for-15) against Tanner Bibee’s fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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