Cubs vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10
Cubs vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10

The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-145) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Cubs are 7-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 6-8 ATS.

Cubs vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 0-1, 11.75 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 0-1, 3.38 ERA

Cubs vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+18.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+16.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+19.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+16.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 152 games (+16.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 8-3 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 25.71% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 27.08% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 22.31% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -29.75% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 6-8 against the Run Line (-0.38 Units / -2.42% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.21 Units / -18.29% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.53 Units / -9.92% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 2.58% ROI

Padres vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Suzuki 0.5 +600 0.5 -1000
Gomes 0.5 +950 0.5 -2000
Bellinger 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Morel 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Hoerner 0.5 +1150 0.5 -2500

Padres vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hendricks 3.5 +135 3.5 -175
Cease 7.5 +105 7.5 -135

Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 73% of the time (895/1,224) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.037 (28 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .448 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks located 73% of his pitches away (827/1,135) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Dylan Cease this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (7/26) against Dylan Cease this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (1,001/1,681) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Dylan Cease this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 97th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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