West Virginia vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

The West Virginia Mountaineers (7-4) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears (3-8) on Nov. 25 in Waco.

West Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The West Virginia vs. Baylor Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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West Virginia vs Baylor Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts West Virginia will win this game with 73.6% confidence.

West Virginia vs Baylor Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 79.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both West Virginia and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 23% ROI)

  • Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Best West Virginia Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for West Virginia players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Craig Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Kole Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Garrett Greene has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Hudson Clement has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Blake Shapen has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hal Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Blake Shapen has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Richard Reese has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Sawyer Robertson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 49% ROI)

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 22.5% ROI).

  • West Virginia is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 37.58% ROI
  • West Virginia is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • West Virginia is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Baylor is 2-8 against the spread this college football season (-6.8 Units / -56.2% ROI).

  • Baylor is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.55 Units / -85.37% ROI
  • Baylor is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Baylor is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

West Virginia was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459

West Virginia is 4-17 (.190) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for 35th-worst in FBS; Average: .288

West Virginia is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

West Virginia is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– tied for 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .401

Baylor is 14-5 (.583) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .471

Baylor is 11-8 (.579) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 34th-best in FBS; Average: .494

Baylor is 2-8 (.200) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– tied for 40th-worst in FBS; Average: .335

Baylor is 3-11 (.214) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .510

Baylor’s QBs has thrown for 2,748 passing yards in 10 games (274.8 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS teams. TCU’s defense has allowed 244.5 passing yards per game this season — fifth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Baylor’s TEs has 61 receptions in 10 games (6.1 per game) this season — third-best among P5 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

  
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