The North Carolina Tar Heels (8-3) visit Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (8-3) on Nov. 25 in Raleigh.
North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The North Carolina vs. NC State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs NC State Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 53.6% confidence.
North Carolina vs NC State Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 66.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and NC State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
NC State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Best North Carolina Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 90% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 away games (+2.40 Units / 120% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Nate McCollum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Elijah Green has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Best NC State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for NC State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Keyon Lesane has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Brennan Armstrong has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brennan Armstrong has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Houston has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.15% ROI).
- North Carolina is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.25 Units / -37.27% ROI
- North Carolina is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
- North Carolina is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
NC State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.15% ROI).
- NC State is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 37.28% ROI
- NC State is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
- NC State is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
North Carolina is 12-3 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 18th-best in FBS; Average: .568
North Carolina is 15-8 (.600) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 32nd-best in FBS; Average: .503
North Carolina is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .559
North Carolina is 12-4 (.571) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .432
North Carolina State is 18-6 (.750) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .630
North Carolina State is 11-3 (.688) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 20th-best in FBS; Average: .539
North Carolina State is 19-8 (.633) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: .496
North Carolina State is 9-3 (.643) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 39th-best in FBS; Average: .556
North Carolina State’s QBs has thrown for 1,663 passing yards in 9 games (just 184.8 YPG) this season — 25th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 161.2 passing yards per game this season — best among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s QBs has thrown for 1,663 passing yards in 9 games (just 184.8 YPG) this season — 25th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 161.2 passing yards per game this season — third-best among P5 defenses.