Washington vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3
Washington vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The Washington Huskies visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT in East Lansing.

Washington is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Washington vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Washington vs Michigan State Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 89.6% confidence.

Washington vs Michigan State Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.91 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Washington have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)

  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Washington Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Washington players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Penix Jr. has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jalen McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michael Penix Jr. has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Rome Odunze has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jalen Berger has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Washington is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 16.13% ROI
  • Washington is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Washington is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan State is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).

  • Michigan State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 17.86% ROI
  • Michigan State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Michigan State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

#10 Washington is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .562

#10 Washington is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .554

#10 Washington was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .561

#10 Washington is 5-1 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .359

Michigan State is 4-1 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .559

Michigan State is 5-1 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .547

Michigan State is 15-2 (.833) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .520

Michigan State is 14-4 (.778) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .562

Michigan State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.2% of 55 attempts this season — tied for 10th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.1% of attempts this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Michigan State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.2% of 55 attempts this season — tied for 10th-best among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.1% of attempts this season — tied for 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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